Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.021489 0.023129 0.024835 0.026745 0.028822 0.031017 0.033514
2025-12-28 0.018691 0.021039 0.023607 0.026633 0.030108 0.033984 0.038648
2026-01-04 0.016881 0.019638 0.022770 0.026604 0.031190 0.036523 0.043227
2026-01-11 0.015608 0.018646 0.022203 0.026698 0.032258 0.038951 0.047678
2026-01-18 0.014567 0.017800 0.021683 0.026725 0.033146 0.041110 0.051837
2026-01-25 0.013770 0.017165 0.021338 0.026889 0.034144 0.043394 0.056222
2026-02-01 0.012899 0.016364 0.020709 0.026614 0.034512 0.044831 0.059528
2026-02-08 0.012072 0.015557 0.020008 0.026175 0.034600 0.045856 0.062281
2026-02-15 0.011436 0.014957 0.019531 0.025985 0.034981 0.047257 0.065598
2026-02-22 0.010833 0.014362 0.019019 0.025703 0.035194 0.048408 0.068588
2026-03-01 0.010319 0.013857 0.018597 0.025509 0.035501 0.049679 0.071796
2026-03-08 0.009858 0.013399 0.018209 0.025334 0.035807 0.050943 0.075040
2026-03-15 0.009480 0.013054 0.017984 0.025407 0.036522 0.052908 0.079587
2026-03-22 0.009060 0.012631 0.017627 0.025270 0.036918 0.054424 0.083549
2026-03-29 0.008704 0.012280 0.017355 0.025237 0.037459 0.056176 0.087988
2026-04-05 0.008410 0.012004 0.017174 0.025325 0.038178 0.058232 0.093042
2026-04-12 0.008121 0.011720 0.016963 0.025351 0.038792 0.060139 0.097960
2026-04-19 0.007886 0.011504 0.016843 0.025505 0.039609 0.062408 0.103635
2026-04-26 0.007562 0.011139 0.016476 0.025246 0.039733 0.063530 0.107365
2026-05-03 0.007222 0.010733 0.016029 0.024833 0.039574 0.064156 0.110234
2026-05-10 0.006959 0.010435 0.015736 0.024654 0.039792 0.065425 0.114344
2026-05-17 0.006691 0.010120 0.015402 0.024388 0.039843 0.066399 0.117957
2026-05-24 0.006458 0.009850 0.015126 0.024205 0.040023 0.067601 0.122068